Lt. Gen Emmanuel Kwasi Kotoka, a coupist |
By Ekow Mensah.
The overthrow of
the Nkrumah government on February 24, 1966 continues to generate controversy
and sometimes indignation.
Mr. A.K. Deku,
one of the architects of the coup says that he was forced to join the plot
against the Government of Ghana’s first president.
“I was forced to
join because by time I became aware of the conspiracy nothing could be done to
stop it.
“Kotoka had already recruited many people in
the army. The soliders were with him and the situation could not be changed” he
said.
He was speaking
in a pre-recorded interview on TV3’s “Hot Issues” which is to be broadcast at a
date to be announced soon.
Mr Deku who
served as head of the Criminal Investigations Department (CID) and the Special
Branch of the Ghana Police Service described Nkrumah as “a very good man”
Now 94 years old,
Mr Deku said the master minds of the coup were Harley, Kotoka and a Major
Quarshie who was then working at the 37 military hospital.
He said the
plotters met regularly in Major Quarshie house.
According to Mr
Deku, General A.A. Afrifa who later became chairman of the National Liberation
Council (NLC) was more or less the direct representative of Sir Edward Akufo
Addo and Dr K.A Busia in the Government.
He said General
Afrifa reported everything which happened at meetings of the NLC to Busia and
Akufo-Addo.
Mr Deku claimed that General Ankrah, the first
chairman of the NLC was removed as a result of a conspiracy involving two
brothers Michael and Eric Otoo.
He also claimed
that Mr Tawiah Adamafio, General Secretary of the Convention Peoples Party at
the time was not involved in the Kukungugu bomb attack on Nkrumah.
He said the real
plotters were Obetsebi-Lamptey who was operating in Accra and Dr Busia who had
set up base at Lome, Togo.
Mr Deku said Dr
Nkrumah and Mr Kufour were the best president presidents Ghana has had.
He refused to
answer several questions.
Please look out
for this explosive interview.
Editorial
THE
LAW AND HUMAN RIGHTS
Lawyers working
for persons who were detained in connection with investigations into the GYEEDA
affair by the Economic and Organized Crime Organization (EOCO) are crying fowl.
They say that the
detention of their clients is a violation of their constitutional and
democratic rights.
It is difficult
for us to understand them.
Are we being told
that all of a sudden, the security services have been disabled from detaining
suspects?
The EOCO was established
by an Act of Parliament in conformity with the provisions and principles of the
1992 constitution.
The law
establishing EOCO also gave the organization powers of arrest and detention.
Are the lawyers
saying that those suspected of serious crime should not be detained under the
law?
These noises
about human and democratic rights can sometimes be really cacophonous and
lawyers should know better.
On 29 August, Ghana's Supreme Court dismissed
a petition brought before it by the losing presidential candidate in last
December's election, Nana Akufo-Addo, and ruled that President John Mahama was
duly elected. But Cameron Duodu is not too pleased about the way the court
conducted itself.
THOUGHT
OF A MYSTERIOUS MAN
MR
RAWLINGS CRIES
Jerry John Rawlings |
Mr Jerry John Rawlings is at it again. He is seeing evil
all around President John Dramani Mahama and the indications are that sooner
than later he is going to boom and boom again.
Indeed, what he says about the Mahama administration is
not very different from what he has said about all other administrations except
his own.
Mr Rawlings started his fight against Professor John
Evans Atta Mills by claiming that the same evil forces had surrounded him.
These evil forces later took on many different names but
they remained evil to the core.
They became greedy bastards, children with sharp teeth,
evil dwarfs, mischievous monsters and many more.
Mr Rawlings chased Professor Mills to his grave with all
kinds of unproven allegations, pure innuendos, fabrications and sometimes
outright lies.
Only a couple of weeks ago, Mr Rawlings decided to spit
on the grave of the Professor who was once his deputy.
He told a
gathering in the Volta Region that God killed Professor Mills because he had
failed to imprison corrupt officials in the Kufour administration.
For him, God removed Professor Mills from the face of the
earth to create favorable conditions for dealing with corruption and
maladministration in Ghana.
This is obviously an attempt to tarnish the reputation of
God himself. First, all who knew
Professor Mill well claimed that he was incorruptible.
Those who have given this testimony have included
priests, politicians of all types, academics, students, working people and even
the Professor’s opponents.
Only Jerry John Rawlings saw the Professor in bad light
and managed to attribute his own apparent hatred to God.
If President John Mahama is tempted to think that Mr
Rawlings was not messing him up and was only castigating those around him, he
should perhaps hold on for a moment and reflect.
He would soon realize that how Rawlings has began with
him is the same way he began with Professor Mills.
Former President Kufour suffered the same fate with
Rawlings. He began by claiming that Mr Kufour had been surrounded by crooks and
ended up giving him and new name –Ataa Ayi.
Now, Mr Kufuor has become the butt of the vituperations
of Mr Rawlings Mr Rawlings continues to ridicule Mr Kufour at the least opportunity.
Former President Hilla Liman suffered a similar fate. Mr
Rawlings began by alleging that he too had been surrounded by crooks. In the
end, Rawlings overthrew the Limann administration and ended up staying in
absolute power for well over 18 years.
Even Nkrumah, the founder of the Republic of Ghana has
not been spared by Mr Rawlings.
According to
Rawlings all that Nkrumah managed to do was to achieve only “a flag and anthem”
independence. What he meant was that Ghana did not gain much under Nkrumah.
Mr Rawlings has
started all over again and it can be safely predicted that President John
Dramani Mahama is his next victim.
The question is, given what history teaches us about this
man called Rawlings, would President Mahama be naïve enough to ignore a major
lesson of history and fall prey to the machinations of a former President
called Jerry John Rawlings?
Banditry
Cote d'Ivoire
By IRIN
In the three months since June, Cote d'Ivoire has seen twice as many armed highway attacks as in the whole of 2012. Observers say that a slow pace of security sector reforms is prompting ex-fighters to take to banditry.
Cote d'Ivoire Presidential Claimant Alhassan Quattara |
In the three months since June, Cote d'Ivoire has seen twice as many armed highway attacks as in the whole of 2012. Observers say that a slow pace of security sector reforms is prompting ex-fighters to take to banditry.
Twenty-two people were killed in at least 18 attacks
between June and early September, according to the Ministry of Defence
statistics. More than half of the victims were soldiers, gendarmes or police.
Initially, the bandits, commonly known in Cote d'Ivoire
as 'coupeurs de route', laid logs on the highway to halt vehicles before
attacking occupants, but witnesses say they are increasingly using AK-47
rifles, grenades and rocket launchers.
"Before, they used tree trunks to stop vehicles, and
so lives were spared. But now they shoot to stop vehicles before robbing
passengers," said Moussa Doumbia, a bus driver who travels between the
central town of Bouake and Korhogo in the north.
"It is the yam-harvesting season now, and the bulk
buyers are finding it difficult to travel on the northern roads to supply
markets in the south. They [highway robbers] operate during the day and at
night," said Doumbia, who has survived two attacks. He explained that it
is unsafe to travel after four o'clock in the afternoon.
Political conflicts that erupted with the 1999 ouster of
Henri Konan Bedie, a decade of rebellion and the months of fighting that
following the disputed 2010 elections have left Cote d'Ivoire awash in weapons.
It is unclear, however, how many weapons are held illegally.
The country's National Commission against the
Proliferation of Light Weapons said that 5,105 weapons were surrendered between
February and June. Around 9,000 of the 65,000 ex-combatants have been
reintegrated into the customs, forestry and prisons departments. The government
needs US$17 million for the reintegration programme.
"We know that the majority of the highway attackers
are former fighters. Their impatience and the difficulties faced by the DDR
[disarmament, demobilization and reintegration] to take them on board are the
reasons for this situation," said Pierre Kouame Adjoumani, the interim
head of the Ivoirian Human Rights League (LIDHO).
Adjoumani also explained that military reforms have not
been comprehensive. "Up to now, there are soldiers with battle weapons who
are doing police and gendarmes duties."
"There is also the issue of the 'dozos' [armed
traditional hunters] who are arrogating themselves the duties of the regular
forces. This has yet to be resolved under the security sector reforms
plan," he added, citing financial difficulties in finalizing the DDR.
Ambushes
Three attacks have occurred so far this month, all in one week. One person was killed outside Odienne town in the north, and two others were killed in a separate attack when gunmen sprayed two passenger buses with bullets in Odienne region. In a third attack, a soldier was seriously wounded by armed men who targeted three buses and an oil tanker.
September saw the highest number of casualties. Five bus
passengers were killed in an attack in the west of the country, and in the
administrative capital, Yamoussoukro, a security patrol came under attack, and
two gendarmes and a policeman were killed. In the same month, one soldier was
killed when gunmen attacked a vehicle transporting money. The attackers stole
20 million CFA francs ($40,000).
In one of the most spectacular ambushes, armed men in
July attacked the entourage of Fidèle Sarassoro, the head of the DRR Authority
(ADDR), in Kong, the home village of President Alassane Ouattara. One of
Sarassoro's guards was killed.
"We have raised the alarm over this worrying phenomenon,"
said Christophe Kouame, coordinator of the Ivoirian Civil Society Convention
(CSCI). "This is due to the impunity by those who illegally hold arms and
the inadequate implementation of the security sector reforms. These contribute
to the persistent insecurity."
But Karnan Soro, the head of the disarmament programme at
ADDR, said highway banditry has existed for long in the country, and not
necessarily because of the former fighters. "I don't think it is because
one is an ex-combatant that he becomes a highway robber," he told IRIN.
"If the government can raise the needed resources,
there is no reason we can't integrate the majority of the ex-combatants before
the end of the year. The aim is to reintegrate 30,000 former fighters, and the
process is under way," Soro told IRIN, but he could not say how much of
the needed $17 million had been raised.
"Terrible Fear"
Still, residents blame the highway robberies on the
ex-fighters.
"These are our young brothers who were part of the
rebellion," said Yacouba Bamba, a teacher in Ferké, a locality in the
north. "It's because of them that we can't travel to withdraw our salaries
in Korhogo. They have attacked many of us every end of the month. It is a
terrible fear when we travel."
"There is a 90 percent chance that travellers will
come across the attackers. They operate on village roads and, at times, storm
the town, firing in the air and then robbing shops and other small
traders," said Roland Kouadio, who lives in Sakassou in central Côte
d'Ivoire.
The government has set up a special force to fight the
banditry in the commercial capital, Abidjan. The force has also begun operating
in country's central and northern regions. The military and gendarmes have also
been deployed on key roads.
"The results of the fight against these bandits are
encouraging. Around 10 of them have been killed. The government is
progressively deploying forces across the country," Paul Koffi Koffi, the
defence minister, told reporters recently.
Ghana:
The court case that left the nation dazed
Nana Akufo Addo |
After 50 days
of court sittings spread over five months, the Ghana Supreme Court has
rejected the election petition filed by the losing presidential candidate in
the December 2012 elections, Nana Addo Dankwa Akufo Addo. Two other members of
Akufo Addo's New Patriotic Party (NPP), Dr Mahamadu Bawumia (the vice-presidential
candidate) and Mr Jake Obersebi-Larnptey (chairman of the NPP) joined Nana Addo
in filing the petition.
The
"judgment", as announced publicly on 29 August 2013, by the
president of the nine-member panel of Supreme Court judges, Justice William
Atuguba, can best be described as "the judgment that - on the day – wasn’t what was expected” by NPP
supporters.
Nana Akufo Addo, leader of the New Patriotic Party
The Court had been
fully packed long before the usual opening time of 10:00am by many people anxious to hear what the final
verdict was going to be. There were also crowds waiting for the judgment at the
headquarters of the two main parties, the NPP and the NDC.
Public interest in the
case had been built up to fever point over a period of five months by live
telecasting of the proceedings. So most people had an opinion about whether the
December 2012 presidential election
had been free and fair (as the Election Commission had proclaimed), or a
farcical exercise permeated with lapses of both an administrative and legal
nature (as the NPP was alleging).
According to the
petition, irregularities by the Electoral Commission had robbed the people of
Ghana of their right to choose the President who should rule them. The petition
claimed that John Dramani Mahama had been wrongly declared as the winner by an
incompetent Electoral Commission.
A most weighty issue.
But the packed court and the media audience not only in Ghana but around the
world (the live TV coverage of "The Verdict" was streamed on-line and
could be picked up on the Internet anywhere in the world) had to sit and wait for
three solid hours before the judges made their appearance on the bench.
As this vast audience
fidgeted all over the place, the suspense in the air - wherever Ghanaians were
gathered - was palpable. What was holding up the judges? They had had several weeks,
after the hearings had ended, to write their judgments. Yet here they were,
unable to face the world with what they had decided.
It was during the
waiting that Ghana became awash with rumours. I make so bold as to say that
never since 1948 (when the British
arrested "The Big Six" politicians fighting for Ghana's independence)
had speculation about the direction of Ghana's ship of state reached the
heights it climbed to on 29 August 2013, the day of the judgment.
Some Ghanaians claimed
that the judges had "found" [that is, decided] in favour of the
petitioners but could not bring them- selves to order what would necessarily be
an "earth-shattering" measure, namely, to turn the status quo on its
head and declare the sitting president, John Mahama, "unelected", and
either hand the presidency to his opponent, Akufo Addo, or order a rerun of
the election. .
"There is connie-connie
[things that are not straight-forward] going on, even as we speak!"
was the refrain most often heard in bars and street corners. For Radio
Trottoir ["Pavement Radio" or Street Talk] was at its analytical
best, vividly describing "eye- witness events" allegedly captured,
not by the speaker, but by people who had related these events to him: someone
else who could not be named but who was much "closer to events".
"It is true one
judge has left for America with 7 million dollars!" I personally heard
someone say. When I expressed disbelief, he dismissed me as someone who lived abroad
and was therefore not privy to "the real news in town".
I insisted: "You
can't even carry more than 10,000 dollars
to America. How much more easily $7 million? Even if you fly in your own
executive jet, the Feds or US Customs have the right to search your air-
craft, and if you've got $7 million on it, they will not only take the money
away and confiscate it, but also
charge you with money-laundering!"
But such arguments were cutting no ice on this day.
People believed what they wanted to believe and in the absence of any news from
the Supreme Court regarding what was happening, speculation became accepted as
potential fact! Why are our courts so pompous? Couldn't the Supreme Court have
asked its Registrar - or its Public Relations Officer - to make an announcement
that there had been "a slight delay" and that things would go on as
expected, soon?
But it was more mystery that was to come. It was
whispered that only one judge was causing the delay: he was "flip-
flopping"! He had allegedly told some "insiders" close to him
that he knew what the decision was going to be - four in favour of the
petitioners and four against them - and that he would be the one to vote to "neutralize"
matters with a "casting" vote of "solid gold"!
"Ok, so where will his casting vote push the
verdict?" "Our side, of course," was the reply.
"Otherwise, how would we know what he had said? You
wait and see!"
It was, however, not until about 5 minutes to 1 O'clock
in the afternoon or thereabouts - that the judges entered the court room at
last. Everyone heaved a sigh of relief. But the tension, instead of easing,
mounted.
The counsel could have been murdered for engaging in such
"frivolities" as presenting their team members individually once
again to the panel of judges - as if the many past months of the hearings had
not existed.
After these formalities had been dispensed with, the president of the panel, Justice Atuguba, started reading.
He delivered a damp squib that made the normal dawn of
day on the predicted "Armageddon Day" favoured by
"prophets" of nut-churches, appear like a pre-ordained anti-climax of
the minor kind.
It was not so much the verdict itself that shocked a lot
of people (after all, we all knew that it would go in one direction or another)
as the unbelievable terseness of
it: Justice Atuguba's halting declamation lasted all of five and a half
minutes, give or take 30/40 seconds!
It almost reminded one of James Alexander Gordon (without
the specially modulated intonation) delivering the English Premier League
football results on a Saturday afternoon: Biometric Voting: For Against Over-voting: For Against Invalidation through Unsigned "Pink
Sheets" (the forms on which
voting results are recorded): For a; Against
b; and so on you get the
picture.
Speaking for myself, Justice Atuguba's diction left me
completely in no-man's land, until he finally said, "We therefore dismiss
the petition". There could not have been more much-ado-about-not-very much
anywhere else in the world! The judges rose. They gave no reasons for, nor
elaborations of, the verdict ["result") they had announced. Goodbye,
James Alexander Gordon. Bring on the football pundits.
Worse, even though Justice Atuguba said the full written
judgments would be at the court registry, it took five whole days before the judgments actually appeared there.
So, for 5 days, the most important event in Ghana's judicial/political calendar was open to interpretation by all and sundry. Most of what actually occurred was an enthronement of legal illiteracy.
I urge the judiciary to review its processes and adopt a
method of dealing with the public that will not be so disastrous in future.
What if each judge had read his or her judgment in summary? Say four or five
pages, summing up his or her reasons for coming to the conclusion they had
arrived at? And saying, "the full judgment will be made available
later?" I believe that is what happens in some of the countries whose
constitutional governance we are trying to emulate.
Our judges get all spruced up in their colourful robes
and wigs. Fine. But they should also adopt some of the new methods by which
courts elsewhere are making themselves more relevant to the people they are
supposed to serve.
I remember that when the Judicial Committee of the
British House of Lords was giving judgment in the famous Pinochet extradition
case in March 1999, special arrangements were made by that "stuffy"
institution to make the judgment immediately accessible to the public, both in
the UK and elsewhere. The British judiciary covered itself in glory at that
time. Ours in Ghana, I am sorry to say, showed a particular lack of imagination
on 29 August 2013.
Once again, I refer the Ghana chief justice, Mrs Justice
Georgina Wood to how the Kenyan judiciary handled its own election petition
case not so long ago. The judges delivered their judgment suitably trimmed for
public consumption in a few hours and the country breathed a sigh of relief.
Ours was, with the greatest respect, a complete letdown,
and yet our chief justice is one of the influential figures from outside Kenya
who helped to make the Kenyan judiciary what it is today.
Anyway, it would probably have been better, as far as
journalists are concerned, if the full judgment had stayed under wraps! For not
many people have had access to the judges' opinions, despite their having been
made public. For the opinions amount to 588
pages! And on the crucial issues, the differences between them -
judge versus judge - were sometimes as vast as that between the Atlantic and
the Indian oceans.
What does one report and what does one not report? Some
of the local Ghanaian media are trying to serialize segments of the judgment,
but the process is unsatisfactory.
Everyone wants to see those segments that they think make their case, so whatever is published causes annoyance!
I must add that whatever one is able to read, contains,
in the time-honoured tradition, a great deal of verbosity. Many of the
judgments are liberally sprinkled with quotations from judgments elsewhere -
ranging from Australia, Canada, Lesotho and of course, the UK.
Some of these citations (I am reliably informed by a
learned lawyer) have no immediate relevance to, or even relationship with, the
issues canvassed in the election petition.
Why didn't Putin receive Nobel Peace Prize?
Russian President Vladimir Putin |
A strange
situation we have with the Nobel Peace Prize in 2013. This year, it was awarded
to the Organization for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons (OPCW).
As the head of
the Norwegian Nobel Committee, Secretary General of the Council of Europe,
Thorbjørn Jagland, said the organization received the Peace Prize "for
considerable contribution to the widespread elimination of chemical
weapons."
In Russia,
reactions to the news were, shall we say, quite emotional, as President Putin
was nominated for the prize.
The Norwegian
Nobel Committee explained why the prize was awarded to the OPCW. The organization
"performing inspections and eliminating stockpiles of chemical weapons, as
well as acting in other ways, makes every effort to implement the provisions of
the Convention on the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons."
According to
Jagland, the OPCW has been among the candidates for the prize for several
years, but the committee has no right to say who nominated the organization and
who else was included on the list of most likely contenders. According to
tradition, this information will be kept secret for 50 years from the date when
the prize has been awarded, Itar -Tass reports.
In Russia,
reactions to the news depended on people's political views because Russian
President Vladimir Putin was nominated too.
According to
State Duma deputy Iosif Kobzon, the Nobel Committee made an unfair decision.
"This is absolutely unfair that the OPCW was given this title. Who forced
Syria to destroy chemical weapons, if not Putin? Who made Assad sign all
agreements of the UN Security Council for the destruction of chemical weapons?
They should have given the prize to two nominees then. This is unfair, because
Putin is making every effort," he said in an answer to the Russian news
service.
But this year,
the Russian president could not get on the list of candidates. He can be
included in the short list for next year. According to regulations, the
nomination of candidates takes place before February 1. That is for the prize
of the year - until February 1, 2013, for the prize in 2014 - until February 1,
2014, etc.
Earlier, the
initiator of Putin's nomination, the head of the All-Russia Foundation
"Education," Sergei Komkov, told Pravda.Ru: "What Vladimir Putin
does today, in a very difficult situation on the international arena, is a huge
plus for him. There is a question that the world faces today - who can stop the
looming, not just a regional conflict? Some say that it will be a regional war,
but no, it will not be a regional war, but a global conflict, that will involve
much of the developed world, just as it was in the late 1930s."
Sergei Komkov
emphasized that his appeal to the Nobel Committee had been officially
registered. We can just wait till October 2014.
Anton Kulikov
Global warming controversies
By Gary Novak
According to the most noted "deniers" (critics
of global warming) within science (Roy Spencer, Richard Lindzen and others),
they all agree with climatologists that greenhouse gases create global warming;
they only disagree on how much.
The primary effect of carbon dioxide is called
sensitivity, secondary effects, forcing. Climatologists say that doubling CO2
in the atmosphere will result in a primary effect (sensitivity) of about 1°C
temperature increase, and the only dispute is the secondary effects.
The primary effect is the science; the secondary effect
is the witchcraft. Therefore, the science of climatology is reduced to a number
(1°C), and only the witchcraft is studied or disputed.
The basis for sensitivity cannot be located. The closest
thing to a source is Hansen's fudge factor (http://nov79.com/gbwm/equations.html),
which in itself does not have an identifiable source. The fudge factor says:
Heat increase = 5.35 ln C/C0. Temperature increase = 0.75 times heat
increase.
How can all scientists agree upon something which cannot
be located with a source? What is in their minds which fixes sensitivity in
place? Why can't they tell us what it is?
I think what happened is that the result of Hansen's fake
equation was repeated over and over in the scientific literature causing
scientists to assume it must have a valid basis. Maybe they saw the fudge
factor and assumed it must be unquestionable fact. If so, they are not real
scientists. Scientists could not miss the absurdity of the fudge factor.
And now that the graph for the average global temperature
stopped showing an increase, some say the sensitivity number should be reduced.
If the amount was wrong, how can sensitivity be so unquestionable?
In fact, the original fudge factor yields 2.8°C increase
with doubling CO2, but it has been whittled down to 1°C at this time, which
requires the original constant to be reduced from 5.35 to 1.92. In other words,
climatologists keep changing constant (5.35) in response to criticisms and
increased complexities which they have to consider.
The fudge factor undoubtedly was constructed by extending
the past into the future, as sugested by Norm Kalmanovitch. One of the frauds
inherent in the fudge factor is the assumption that no other influences in the
past but CO2 determined temperature increase of so-called global warming. Yet
"deniers" in science say numerous factors influence global
temperature. Do they not know that the fudge factor includes everything which
influenced global temperature? They don't seem to know that. A real scientists
could not have missed it. When real scientists see a fudge factor, alarm bells
go off, and they find out where it came from. The source of sensitivity cannot
be located, yet it gets used and repeated, and no explanation exists of where
it came from.
There is no scientifically valid basis for assuming a
certain amount of CO2 will produce a defined temperature increase.
Where is the Mechanism?
Scientists used to try to explain how greenhouse gases
create global warming, but they totally failed. They produced dozens of
explanations for the public, and none of them were consistent with each other.
So they sort of stopped trying to explain it and are now simply saying, we can
observe the temperature increase, and our models show it, regardless of how it
is happening. But over the past 18 years, the graphs stopped showing an
increase in temperature. What then is there left to the subject? Are they now
going to go back to the scientific details? What is the science which shows it?
Before they gave up trying to rationalize the science, climatologists
were arguing a mechanism based upon the shoulders of absorption peaks.
Saturation forced them onto the shoulders of the peaks. Saturation means a
small amount of greenhouse gases absorbed all radiation available to them, so
more of the gases cannot absorb more. But the gases only saturate at the center
of each peak. Supposedly, the shoulder frequencies are not saturated.
This depends upon how saturation is defined. At the
center of the main peak for CO2 (15 micro meters), all radiation is absorbed
within 10 meters (http://nov79.com/gbwm/hnzh.html#ten)
in the atmosphere. In other words, at 11 meters, no more radiation at that
frequency can be found. But change the frequency a little, and less absorption
occurs.
At about 14.7 µm, absorption is one tenth, and radiation
goes 100 meters to be completely absorbed. More distance is required, because
fewer CO2 molecules have the stretched shape which absorbs at that wavelength.
At about 14.1 µm, radiation goes 1,000 meters, which
means still saturated. At about 14.0 µm, radiation goes 10 kilometers. Is that
saturation? Upon doubling the amount of CO2 in the atmosphere, the distance is
half (5 km). Is reducing the distance from 10 km to 5 km increasing the
near-surface temperature? Not really. This is a miniscule amount of heat spread
over 5 km of height.
Why Shoulder Effects are Miniscule.
The assumption that shoulder effects are where global
warming occurs is greatly in error. The real quantities involved are
ridiculously small for the following reasons: Using the example of about 14.1
µm, where there are 1/100 as many CO2 molecules, the distance increases from 10
meters to 1,000 meters for complete absorption of available radiation (ignoring
atmosphere getting thinner to make simple points). Doubling the CO2 reduces
this distance to 500 meters.
The total amount of heat increase for CO2 is said to be
1°C upon doubling. So this 1°C must be divided by 100 due to one hundredth of
the CO2 molecules at 14.1 µm, and divided again by 50 due to the molecules
being spread over 500 meters of height instead of 10 meters. Spreading the
molecules over more distance reduces their density and results in less
temperature increase upon doubling.
So 1°C ÷ 100 = 0.01, and this divided by 50 = 0.0002°C.
The shoulder effects are miniscule, because very few CO2
molecules are involved, and they are spread over a lot of height in the
atmosphere.
The Hansen fudge factor has a rudimentary logic, which
says doubling the amount of CO2 doubles the temperature of the air at the
surface of the earth. This logic would be correct, if there were no other
factors involved. Even with saturation, more molecules absorbing at a
particular location will produce more heat at that location. But consider these
absurdities: Air rapidly mixes near the surface due to convection, and
therefore, the total heat within the convecting volume determines the result,
and it does not change with increases in CO2 due to saturation. Then the starting
point is determined by the constant, 5.35, and it cannot be determined except
through past observations, which include a hodge podge of factors.
Crunching the Numbers.
Climatologist may have acquired a concept of CO2
sensitivity by combining the NASA energy chart (http://nov79.com/gbwm/rad.html)
with an application of the Stefan-Boltzmann constant (http://nov79.com/gbwm/sbc.html)
(SBC) to greenhouse gases, both of which are extremely erroneous and misused
for the purpose. The SBC says the temperature of the earth would have to be
-19.3°C without an atmosphere, because solar energy is 235 Watts per square
meter. With an atmosphere, the measured near-surface average is said to be
15°C. The atmosphere increased the temperature by 34°C by this analysis (The
number 33°C is usually shown. Don't know why.).
The NASA energy chart says 41% of the energy leaves the
surface of the earth by radiation. About 30% of that radiation is said to
radiate directly into space, while 70% is absorbed in the atmosphere by
greenhouse gases. CO2 takes up 8% of the bandwidth for infrared radiation
leaving the earth, which is 11% of the greenhouse gas influence. One side of
one band (out of three) overlaps with water vapor; so the 11% is reduced by one
sixth to 9.17%. This times 41% equals 3.76% of the assumed temperature of 34°C,
which totals 1.28°C. This is how much temperature increase CO2 supposedly added
to the earth before humans influenced the result. Doubling the CO2 would
supposedly add another 1.28°C to the atmosphere.
There is a major error in referring to this number as
sensitivity. It represents what CO2 in the atmosphere did during saturation of
greenhouse gases. The number tells nothing of what will happen post saturation.
Doubling CO2 in the atmosphere will not produce much increase in temperature
after saturation. Due to saturation, this number crunching method is not
appropriate for determining present-time sensitivity.
The Hansen fudge factor is also not appropriate for the
purpose. Inherent forcing cannot be tweezed out. Due to inherent forcing, the
fudge factor is not really a representation of sensitivity but a combination of
sensitivity and forcing in addition to unknown influences over past
temperature, which it vaguely parallels."deniers" claim it is the most certain and agreed upon fact of
global warming.
The saturation question prevents a simple determination
of sensitivity, unless one admits there is no sensitivity due to saturation.
How then can sensitivity be the most certain fact of global warming, which even
the deniers do not question?
Beyond these problems, the Stefan-Boltzmann constant is
grossly in error, which means 34°C is nothing close to the effect which
greenhouse gases or the atmosphere produced before human influences.
Why Sensitivity Contradicts Knowledge.
There are two perspectives on global warming. Extremely
uninformed persons have a very simplistic view. They assume that heat would
radiate into space, if it were not stopped by greenhouse gases. Scientists
argue minutia, which keeps getting more minute, as they try to cope with
increasing counter-arguments.
Most heat leaves the planet from the atmosphere, not from
the surface. Uninformed persons do not know that. The Nasa chart shows 10% of
the earth's energy radiating from the surface into space. The rest of the
energy goes from surface to atmosphere through conduction, evaporation and
radiation. The NASA chart shows 14% conduction, 45% evaporation and 41%
radiation. It should be about 52% conduction, 45% evaporation and 3% radiation.
The logic is that conduction should be about 20 times radiation (with normal
wind). Cooling fans would not be used, if the ratios were much different from
that. The NASA chart shows 3 times as much radiation as conduction on the
surface of the earth, which is absurd.
The perspective of both uninformed persons and most
scientists is that global warming is about heat entering the atmosphere. They
error. The temperature of the atmosphere is about heat leaving, not entering.
Heat entering the atmosphere produces an undefined result apart from heat
leaving. This fact is due to the second law of thermodynamics, which says heat
dissipates from warmer areas to colder areas. Heat leaving creates a steady
state, called equilibrium.
Equilibrium means there is a temperature which causes heat to escape at the same rate it enters. For the atmosphere, that temperature is fixed by the rate of heat leaving. Increase the temperature, and heat will leave at a higher rate. But heat must leave the earth at the same rate solar energy enters. Therefore, the temperature from which the heat leaves is fixed by the amount of solar heat entering.
Equilibrium means there is a temperature which causes heat to escape at the same rate it enters. For the atmosphere, that temperature is fixed by the rate of heat leaving. Increase the temperature, and heat will leave at a higher rate. But heat must leave the earth at the same rate solar energy enters. Therefore, the temperature from which the heat leaves is fixed by the amount of solar heat entering.
Scientists will sometimes mention equilibrium claiming or
implying that more heat entering the atmosphere will shift the equilibrium
temperature upward. The equilibrium temperature can't be shifted upward, unless
something makes escape of heat more encumbered. The original greenhouse gases
slightly encumber radiation escaping from the surface of the earth into space
(5% radiation x 70% bandwidth = 3.5% temperature increase); but that effect
ended with saturation of the gases. Any increase in greenhouse gases does
nothing due to saturation.
The earth (surface and atmosphere) is cooled by radiation
which goes around greenhouse gases, not through them. The escaping radiation
allows equilibrium to be established, which fixes the atmospheric temperature
in place, beyond weather effects, which could be quite significant for an ice
age, but not due to greenhouse gases.
What became of
western civilization?
Paul Craig Roberts
Not that long ago government and free market proponents
were at sword’s point, but no more. With little left in the private sector to
rip off, the financial gangsters have turned to the public sector and put to
work for them the free market economists’ advocacy of privatization.
Governments themselves became part of the conspiracy once
the politicians realized that looting public assets was an efficient way to
reward their private benefactors.
We can see the entire picture in the David Cameron
government’s privatization of the British Royal Mail. The prime minister has
described the looting as “popular capitalism” even though the British public
overwhelmingly opposes turning over the mail service to a profit-making
enterprise.
The British government’s pursuit of policies opposed by
the public shows the absence in Britain of the very democracy that British
prime ministers, such as Blair and Cameron, are so anxious to help Washington
spread with invasions, cluster bombs, and depleted uranium to Afghanistan,
Iraq, Libya, Syria, and Iran.
Here is how the Royal Mail is being privatized or,
rather, looted.
First Cameron’s government, guided by the financial
gangsters, undervalued the assets of the Royal Mail and assumed mail delivery
charges below those that will be charged. This fictitious accounting allows
public assets to be transferred to the politicians’ private benefactors at a
price below their value.
For example, all of the Royal Mail’s real estate is being
transferred to the new private owners for less than the value of the Royal
Mail’s London real estate alone. Neil Clark reports that one Royal Mail London
depot is worth about one billion British pounds; but the entire real estate
assets of the Royal Mail-public property-is being transferred to the new
private owners for about three-quarters of one billion British pounds. The deal
was so loaded in favor of the private purchasers that the share price rose
almost 40 percent on the first day of trading. (This might have been some sort
of nominal trading as the deal possibly has not been finalized.)
According to reports, many of the mail carriers are going
to lose their jobs, and the public, not the private purchasers, is stuck with
the liability of the Royal Mail pension fund, which is about $55 billion
dollars. So the private looters get the assets but not the liabilities.
The purchasers are the financial gangsters in whose
behalf economic policy is run in the US, UK, and Europe, and, you guessed it,
Goldman Sachs made $33.5 million “advising” Cameron on the sale.
Wall Street and the City of London, the two world
financial centers so beloved and misrepresented by free market economists as
financiers of investment and economic growth, are in fact legal, government
supported, Mafia gangs that loot. Their profits come from looting.
We are seeing them at work in Greece, where the sanctity
of financial profits requires public assets to be sold at bargain basement
prices to private interests. The deal requires protected islands of the
national heritage be turned over to real estate developers, and public assets
such as water companies, ports, and the state lottery be sold at lucrative
prices to private interests consisting of the private banks and their
clients.
In Italy government indebtedness is forcing the sale to
private investors of historic castles and villas and the Island of San Giacomo
in one of Venice’s lagoons. These national treasures will be turned into
hotels, restaurants, and resorts for the one percent.
Are the British Museum and the Smithsonian next to be
privatized?
In America prisons are privatized despite the incentive
this gives to produce inmates.
Public schools are being privatized in the form of
“charter schools.” Charter schools are a scheme to eliminate public sector
teachers unions, and to convert their pay into private profits by bringing in
contract hires to teach for a few years before they are replaced by a new group
of contract hires.
Western civilization, to the extent than any civilization
remains, is confronted with a total collapse of economic and government
morality. Looting and exploitation rule, and the presstitute media does its
best to hide the fact.
Western civilization has been reduced to
remnants-historical artifacts, picturesque villages in England and France,
German efficiency, joie de vivre and good food in France and Italy, and
architectural masterpieces and classical music created before our
lifetime.
In addition to Wall Street’s mechanisms for looting,
America contributes technology for putting the entire world under constant
surveillance, exploiting the information for economic benefit and for silencing
dissenters.
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