Friday 2 June 2017

END OF AN ERA; Nkrumah’s Birthday May No Longer Be Celebrated as Founder’s Day

Osagyefo Dr Kwame Nkrumah
By Ekow Yeboah
Take it or leave it, the signs are that September 21, the birthday of Osagyefo Dr Kwame Nkrumah, first President of the Republic of Ghana, may no longer be officially celebrated as Founder’s Day.

This is because about 60 per cent of the current membership of Parliament does not accept Nkrumah as the founder of modern republic of Ghana.

They claim that Ghana was founded by a mythical big six including Obetsebi –Lamptey who was convicted of terrorism, Justice Edward Akufo-Addo, Kwame Nkrumah, J. B. Danquah, Ako Adjei and William Ofori Atta.

The Founder’s Day declared by former President John Evans Atta Mills in 2009 has been stoutly opposed by the New Patriotic Party (NPP). The NPP now has 169 seats in the 275 seat parliament giving it a majority of 60 per cent.

The problem is that Founder’s Day was declared administratively by the Mills Government without any law backing it. Interestingly, President John Mahama also failed to give the declaration any legal backing.

Any attempt to secure parliamentary approval for the observance of September 21 as Founder’s Day is expected to be seriously resisted by the majority side in Parliament.

Osagyefo with Fidel Castro
In 1969, Parliament sat under a certificate of urgency to criminalise the possession and circulation of photographs of Nkrumah.

After February 24, 1966, the Convention Peoples Party (CPP) was banned and its activists were also banned from holding office for 10 years.

Books written by or about Nkrumah were also set ablaze as part of the effort to bastardise progressive politics.

Over the last 15 years, the Socialist Forum of Ghana (SFG) has marked September 21 as Founder’s Day and February 24 as Ghana’s Day of Shame.

The SFG says that it will continue to mark Founder’s Day no matter what the Government or Parliament does.

Editorial
BRAVO!
The decision by the Socialist Forum of Ghana (SFG) to continue the observance of Founder’s Day no matter what the current Government decides is highly recommendable.

This is an era of plural politics and citizens are entitled to disagree with governments and to act on the basis of their conviction.

Like the Socialist Forum of Ghana The Insight believes firmly that Osagyefo Dr Kwame Nkrumah is the Founder of the modern republic of Ghana and we shall support any effort to observe September 21 as such.

It is our hope that the Convention Peoples Party (CPP) and all other political parties which accept Nkrumah as the founder of Ghana will act together to give honour to one of Africa’s greatest sons.

Founder’s Day must not be allowed to die because of official disdain for Nkrumah and his achievements.

We will celebrate Founder’s Day on September 21, 2017 whether some people like it or not.

Local News:
AFRICAN VOICES FOR PALESTINE
Jackie Ankrah Confirms Participation And…
Jackie Ankrah

By Gifty Agyemang
The beautiful Ghanaian songstress, Jackie Ankra has confirmed her participation in a solidarity concert with the people of Palestine scheduled for Friday July 14, 2017.
The event dubbed “African Voices for Palestine” will feature some of Africa’s most talented musicians and is intended to show case the plight of Palestinians living under Israeli colonial occupation.

The event sponsored by the Palestine Solidarity Campaign (Ghana) was initiated by the Ghanaian music maestro, Amandzeba and the award winning superstar, Dr Knii Lante Blankson.

Mieta Fambuley, from Liberia has also confirmed her participation alongside Gyedu Blay Ambulley, Blakk Rasta and stone Boy.

Organisers say that they have huge surprises for music funs and these will be revealed in due course.

Amandzeba has already composed a Palestinian solidarity song which would be launched at the concert.

Palestinian girls protest Israeli Occupation
It is expected that leaders of political parties in Ghana, youth and gender movements, labour organisations, members of the diplomatic corps, Chiefs, progressives and Pan-African organisations will participate in the event.

The event is also expected to be given extensive coverage by the international media.
Last week, hunger-striking Palestinians prisoners suspended their hunger strike following an agreement with the Israeli authorities.

About a third of the prisoners has been detained without charge or trial and a huge part are made up of women and children.

Israel is also building illegal settlements on Palestinian lands.
Entrance to the concert is absolutely free.

Africa:
Struggles over Macroeconomic Policy and Gender Equality 

By Prof Marjorie Mbilinyi
The 2016 Africa Human Development Report: Accelerating Gender Equality and Women’s Empowerment in Africa provides a welcome analysis of the impact of macroeconomic policy and structures on gender relations and structures of inequality and power.

According to the report, “… fiscal policy and public expenditures may be the first and most important litmus test of a government’s commitment to gender equality.” Indeed, civil society organisations in Tanzania and elsewhere such as TGNP Mtandao have taken the lead in carrying out gender analysis of the budget process at district and national level, and advocating for gender responsive budgeting by central and local governments.

A growing number of regional, national and local organisations carry out budget and performance tracking – thereby furthering the democratisation and accountability of government. However, the outcomes have been mixed; this article challenges the report’s assumption of a conflict-free harmonious process for gender equality in participatory budgeting and corporate programmes.

A Ghanaian trader at a local market
Contradictory outcomes: Participatory engagement with the budget process has led to increased knowledge about how things work among citizens, and increased information about the mobilisation and allocation of resources and budget implementation, beginning at grassroots level. There have been impressive results in specific locations where local government authorities have become more responsive, attentive, and knowledgeable, and even cooperate to demand more local control over resources. A lot depends on local leadership however.

In other cases, grassroots activists have faced a back lash from local authorities who are not accustomed to having their power challenged, especially by women or young people.

What is missing is a powerful pressure group or movement representing marginalised women and men from grassroots to national level, which can demand and get real change in structures of power at national and regional level. In contrast, the private commercial sector does organise itself successfully to advance its own interests vis-à-vis policy, plans and budgets. Part of the difference may also be the government’s growing dependence on private corporations for tax and non-tax revenue, given the steady decline of external donor support, giving them increased leverage to make demands. These demands often run opposite to those of the majority of poor Tanzanian women and men.

The public-private-partnership myth: Mainstream discourse projects a picture of harmonious conflict-free understanding of PPP which is far from the truth. In the case of land policy, for example, private corporations including banks are lobbying for further liberalisation and privatisation of land tenure and ownership, which local communities and their organisations resist in defending their rights to land and livelihoods. The private sector consistently lobbies for lower corporate taxes and non-tax payments, which would deprive the government and the majority of people of necessary resources to support public social and economic services.

Corporations aim to reduce production costs associated with labour, by reducing or abolishing minimum wages, removing workers entitlements such as maternity/paternity leave and the right to organise in independent labour unions.

Private employers in both the informal and formal sector also benefit from sex discrimination in occupations and wages by systematically paying women lower wages, often for the same work, with similar levels of education and experience. According to the 2016 Africa Human Development Report a gender wage gap persists outside of agriculture in sub-Saharan Africa, such that on average, men earn 30 per cent more than women in manufacturing, services and trade. Ultimately the employer benefits by hiring women and paying them lower wages; the same goes for buyers of goods and services produced by women in the market place. This is especially relevant now when agriculture and non-agriculture enterprises are shifting from full-time permanent labour to casual labour systems.

Capital’s search for flexible labour is happening at higher levels of employment status and wages as well, especially in the form of contract and consultancy work. Employers’ production costs are reduced by not paying for administrative overhead costs, and fringe and other benefits normally provided to regular employees, and the longer hours which contract workers and consultants often work.

The fact that women often prefer ‘at home’ work because it allows them to combine care work at home with ‘paid work’ does not discount the reality of self-exploitation involved. This leads me to be sceptical about strategies for gender equality which rely on self-monitoring by the corporate sector, same as ‘responsible investments’ in large-scale agriculture and land.
Source: All Africa

Western Sahara: Seizure of a cargo of phosphate rock destined for New Zealand

Phosphate mining in Western Sahara
The Saharawi people and their representative organizations, including the democratically elected SADR government, have long protested the illegal mining and export of high quality phosphate rock from an area of Western Sahara which has been under armed occupation by Morocco since 1975.  The trade has continued despite the commitment of the United Nations in 1991 to ensure for the people of Western Sahara a self-determination process, something otherwise achieved throughout Africa.

Bir Lehlu, Western Sahara (4 May 2017). The government of the Saharawi Arab Democratic Republic (the SADR) and the Saharawi national liberation movement, the Polisario Front, announced that they have secured through legal means in South Africa the interception and detention of a shipment of phosphate mineral rock exported from Western Sahara which had been destined for a New Zealand importer.

The cargo, at an estimated 54,000 tonnes and worth just over $5 million (US), is a commodity used in the manufacture of agricultural fertilizer.  It had been loaded aboard the Marshall Islands flagged bulk carrier NM Cherry Blossom on the coast of occupied Western Sahara last month.  Saharawi authorities initiated legal proceedings in South Africa when it became clear that the ship would call into Port Elizabeth to reprovision during a month-long journey.  The ship remains at Port Elizabeth.

The Saharawi people and their representative organizations, including the democratically elected SADR government, have long protested the illegal mining and export of high quality phosphate rock from an area of Western Sahara which has been under armed occupation by Morocco since 1975.  The trade has continued despite the commitment of the United Nations in 1991 to ensure for the people of Western Sahara a self-determination process, something otherwise achieved throughout Africa.  A handful of companies worldwide remain involved in the trade, including two in New Zealand.

Emhamed Khadad, a member of the Polisario leadership, remarked that “the mining and export of what is a non-renewable resource from a place under occupation where the UN has tried to pursue the peaceful assurance of a basic right to the Saharawi people is wrong on many levels.  It is a violation of well-settled principles of international law.  It is morally indefensible.  And it’s bad business, in that the few companies involved face reputational risks, and – as we have seen in several European countries – investor withdrawal.”

Saharawi authorities have attempted to engage the companies involved, and did so in New Zealand along with the government because of that country’s historical support for self-determination in East Timor (Timor-Leste) and Western Sahara.  In September 2015 and September 2016 position statements about Western Sahara, the Fertilizer Association of New Zealand – a representative agency of both New Zealand companies involved – claimed the purchasing of the phosphate rock had a legal basis.  Despite this, the companies have never responded to Saharawi requests for dialogue, and would not disclose a purported legal opinion justifying the purchasing of the commodity.  

Khadad went on to note: “This is a non-renewable resource, one which needs to stay in the ground until the Saharawi people are given what is the basic commitment of the international community to choose their future.”

The seizure of the cargo under court order comes after Saharawi authorities successfully concluded a case against the European Union for extending a free trade agreement with Morocco into Western Sahara.  In that case, the Court of Justice of the European Union noted in its December 2016 decision that Morocco did not have governing competency or any territorial claim to Western Sahara.  The territory, the Court found, is to be treated as a separate entity from Morocco and the consent of its people (the Saharawi people and not more recent settlers) required for development and export of resources. 

“The interdiction of this shipment is a further use of peaceful means to apply the law, for Saharawi people denied the most basic of rights in a nearly decolonized world, and who must endure a brutal occupation with widely documented human rights violations”, remarked Khadad.  “We have tried to patiently engage with the companies involved, and with some we have prevailed.  The New Zealand companies are responsible for a substantial share of the trade.  It was right to pursue legal action to vindicate a clear legal right to this commodity, and important our people relied on a well-regarded justice system in an African country to do that.”
For additional information and media contact:
Kamal Fadel
Polisario (Western Sahara) Representative to Australia and New Zealand
Phone: +61416335197

Britain: Election 2017
Labour Lures Young Voters 
Labour is promising to end university fees as soon as this autumn, in a bid to lure young voters with the registration deadline fast approaching.

More than 2 million people have applied for ballot papers in the month since Prime Minister Theresa May called for the June 8 snap elections. Over the last week alone more than 100,000 people have filled in the form, with nearly 40 percent under 25. Online registration runs until the end of Monday May 22.

Jeremy Corbyn’s Labour party looks to have slashed a Conservative poll lead of 20 to a mere nine points over the last month, with YouGov pollsters recently revealing that 18-34 year-olds are more likely to vote Labour.

“We will make sure that as of September, students that are going to university will not have to pay tuition,” Labour’s shadow education secretary, Angela Rayner, told BBC Radio 4’s Today program.

The estimated £9.5 billion (US$12.35 billion) that the policy will cost annually “is a small price to pay when it comes to ensuring that our young people are not saddled with £45,000 of debt when they leave university,” she added.

University fees are set to rise to £9,250 a year for anyone starting a degree in September. An estimated 400,000 students would benefit from Labour’s move.

“We will scrap tuition fees and ensure universities have the resources they need to continue to provide a world-class education,” Corbyn said.

“Students will benefit from having more money in their pockets, and we will all benefit from the engineers, doctors, teachers and scientists that our universities produce."

But both the Conservatives and Liberal Democrats have condemned the policy, after overseeing the trebling of annual tuition fees from £3,000 to £9,000 in 2010.

Middle East:
Iran voted Rouhani again – now what?
Iranian President Hassan Rohani

By Catherine Shakdam
For a country labelled a theocracy, Iran certainly knows how to throw a presidential election. One more cynical than I may even go so far as to posit that Iran has mastered the art of democracy, right down to the posters and caps.

Yes, I said it, and at the risk of sounding smug, I will continue to say it: the Islamic Republic of Iran is democratic. I realize what a disappointment it must be for neocons everywhere, but the great enemy of the West is in fact a fierce defender of pluralism and political self-determination.

And while I will grant you that the Islamic Republic has borne many great crosses since its inception – no one in Tehran has ever claimed that perfection was anyone’s birthright – much can be said for a nation that has existed amid struggle and war, for it imagined itself free from the tyranny of imperialism.

If I may stray a little from the subject at hand, I would like to remind the reader that since Iranians spoke their Islamic Revolution to life, they were never given the opportunity of a break – rather, their institutions and sovereignty were challenged so that the nation could be reverted to a state of dependency.

Let’s not fool ourselves into believing that Iran’s bid for independence in 1979 did not profoundly upset the balance of powers – and by that, I mean imperialism. It was never Iran’s institutional choice that bothered western capitals, but rather the Islamic Republic’s stubborn determination to stand sovereign over its land, natural resources, traditions, and history.

Now perhaps you will better appreciate the bile our very own Western complex has thrown at a nation whose ambitions are not different from its own, while it has courted those very regimes that seek the annihilation of freedom itself. Need I name that land that US President Trump descended upon in Air Force One?

Iran, I repeat, is a functioning, thriving, and pluralist democracy. My statement is made not out of misplaced sympathy, but actual experience. As it happens, I was lucky enough to follow one of the presidential hopefuls – Seyed Ebrahim Raisi – on the campaign trail, and what I saw was nothing short of inspirational.

What I witnessed was a nation in control of its political future, in tune with its system of governance, and in harmony with its many differences. If Iranians do in fact disagree on how their country should be led and by whom – which is kind of the point in a democracy – they have not reduced themselves to running an episode of the Real Housewives…

As the Western world has struggled with political apathy and pandemic disenfranchisement, Iran has remained politically aware, politically savvy, and more importantly, politically sound, despite a litany of interferences.

An article by the Wall Street Journal crassly called on Iranians not to vote – an interesting stance from a nation that calls itself the Land of the Free. The title read, ‘An Iranian Voter’s Guide: Don’t Vote.’

Regardless of what one may think of Iran or its system of governance – the Governance of the Jurist (Wilayat al-Faqih) – it remains nevertheless true that the Islamic Republic has managed to build a democracy amid a barrage of sanctions and vicious misinformation campaigns.

In the land of Ayatollahs – a term I’m sure has made more than one ethnocentric Western bigot smirk with gleeful disdain – elections are meant as an exercise of sovereignty and pluralism. For all the criticism that experts, politicians, and foreign officials may have hurled against Iran over its alleged democratic shortcomings – which you will note have yet to be substantiated by facts – none can accuse the Islamic Republic of electoral incorrectness.

With a turnout of over 73 percent, Iran is overwhelmingly more engaged than its western counterparts – that, of course, we seldom are told.

Incumbent President Hassan Rouhani was elected for a second term… now what? What happens next, and more to the point, what will America’s Trump do with that reality?
I would say that’s the multi-billion-dollar question… $350 billion to be precise.
Are we really buying the timing of President Trump’s visit to the very theocratic, and very lethal, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia?

We better not, otherwise we all would be missing the Washington-Riyadh passive-aggressive overture against Iran, and Iran’s democratic reality. Timing, as they say, is everything.

Indeed… just as Iranians were busy discussing the latest debates to determine which candidate they felt was most suited for the job, the Kingdom and America were playing target practice on innocent civilians to gauge just how much chaos they could raise and wield as a weapon of political mass manipulation.

Thankfully, America is just not as imaginative as it used to be – or maybe it is that the neocons played too many tricks for anyone to be under any illusions anymore. Recycling the same narrative against one’s enemy to assert one’s imperialistic narrative has only ever served to unveil that very agenda one intends to hide. But hey, it’s just a big conspiracy theory, right? America would never lie about its true intentions, and never would it support regimes that stand Democracy’s way.
If only…
So, what now?
Not much actually. Now that election fever has dissipated, Iran will pick up where it left off, meaning that Tehran is still very much committed to upholding the terms of the JCPOA, that Syria and Iraq both remain important military flashpoints against ISIS, and that the Islamic Republic will work to assert its independence within the framework of international law.

I will leave you with Seyed Raisi’s comments from our interview, as I believe he best encapsulated what Iran envisions for its future.

“We are open to have relations with all countries, however, an honorable relationship. This kind of relationship requires that any agreement, any accord, any deal be treated with dignity and respect, and we will not allow any such agreement, in every activity, we will not permit that the honor of our country be put in harm’s way.”

Palestine:
India Calls for Early Resumption of Israel-Palestine Talks
A Palestinian youth displays Palestinian flag
Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi and visiting Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas held extensive talks on several bilateral and international issues of mutual interest. The two leaders discussed the Middle East peace process as India wants an early solution to the Israel-Palestine conflict.

During the talks with Palestinian President Abbas, Prime Minister Modi stressed for the early resumption of talks between Palestine and Israel.

"President Abbas and I have concluded useful and detailed discussions that will add further strength to our partnership. We had extensive exchange of views on the situation in West Asia and the Middle East Peace Process. We agreed that the challenges in West Asia must be addressed through sustainable political dialogue and peaceful means. India hopes for early resumption of talks between Palestine and Israeli sides to move towards finding a comprehensive resolution," Prime Minister Narendra Modi said, after meeting the Palestinian President Abbas in New Delhi.

India has assured Palestine help to build its economy and support the development and capacity-building efforts.

India has also agreed to provide assistance to Palestine in the areas of information technology, youth and skill development. India is undertaking projects assistance for a flagship techno-park projects in Ramallah which will serve as an IT hub in Palestine.
Palestinian President Abbas also met President Pranab Mukherjee, Vice-President Hamid Ansari and Indian Minister for External Affairs Sushma Swaraj. President Abbas is on a four-day visit to India.

Europe:
New World Disorder – The Next 20 Years: Hope or Despair?
Houses destroyed in Libya war

There is no doubt that the world is facing a wave of unprecedented uncertainties from political and civil unrest, conflict and terrorism to seemingly never-ending financial turmoil, climate change, the struggle for resources and disruptive technologies. Like it or not, no matter where we are, we are living in a new world disorder.

But the big question is how will the world fare over the next twenty years or so amid a global environment that is changing and developing at an unrelenting pace. The greatest immediate tests are emerging from the transition of a disintegrating post-war political system that fostered a massively increased trade and cultural exchange system that is now driving change and increased tensions on the geo-political chessboard. At the same time we are distracted from the demise of our home planet, ravaged by the decades long effects of greed driven globalisation, the consequences yet to fully unfold.

Strategic Forecasting predicts that the European Union will not so much collapse but splinter into four distinct groups; Western Europe, Eastern Europe, Scandinavia, and the British islands as relations break down and they become increasingly estranged from each other. It predicts that China will face political chaos as economic growth declines, that Russia will fall apart as it struggles to keep control of the worlds largest federation and that the U.S. will take a more isolationist stance.

I’ve spoken with some of the world’s foremost commentators as they reflect on the past and look forward on the current trajectory of political and economic fortunes for the next 20 years in the regions where they live or work in the Middle-East, America, Europe and Asia more widely and the results are more complex than Strategic Forecasting predicts.

First up is award winning British journalist Jonathan Cook  located in Nazareth, Israel. Known for his de-coding of official propaganda and outstanding analysis of events often obfuscated in the mainstream, which has made him one of the most reliable truth-tellers in the Middle East:

 “Our increasingly globalised world means it is difficult – and probably unrealistic – to disentangle geo-strategic problems. Can the Palestinians’ hopes of living in dignity really be separated from what happens in Syria, Washington, Europe and Iran?

Two conflicting global trends will intensify over the next 20 years, and the fates of Israelis and Palestinians – and the rest of us – will hinge on how they play out.
The first is what might be termed the evolution of the “fortress state”, or the “homeland security” syndrome.

The elites in the most powerful states are moving into survival mode: externally against rival states as key resources deplete, and internally as resource shortages and climate change risk turning their own publics against them.

This requires a mix of outward belligerence and inward repression in which Israel already excels. State elites are likely to look to Israel for solutions based on its long experience of destabilising neighbours and using Palestinian areas as laboratories for experimenting in methods of subjugation, surveillance and control. This expertise could, in the words of Israeli analyst Jeff Halper, make Israel “indispensable” and provide it with continuing diplomatic and financial cover.

A second trend cannot be discounted, however. A globalised, interconnected world is one where information is much harder to control or suppress. The evident power of social media to bypass traditional media gatekeepers is already worrying these same elites. They are reacting, claiming that new media – rather than corporate and state media – are the purveyors of “fake news”.

The democratising role of social media is awakening larger sections of the population, especially the young, to the neo-imperial role of the US and its allies, to the inability of capitalism to address its own internal contradictions, and to key injustices, such as the case of the Palestinians. This trend will be hard to stop without overt censorship and repression.

The fate of the Palestinians will depend on the outcome of this wider clash: of the elites v’s the people. We see the first signs of this coming confrontation in the rapid growth of the international grassroots BDS movement – boycott, divestment and sanctions – and the backlash from western governments. They have quickly jettisoned their supposed commitment to free speech (remember Charlie Hebdo?) in favour of measures to suppress support for boycotts of Israel. The polarisation between leaders and led will intensify.

Despite all the evidence, I remain optimistic – both because that is my nature, and because history, however fickle, has a habit of eventually favouring those with justice on their side.”

Next is Felicity Arbuthnot, a British freelance journalist who has visited, written and broadcasted widely on Iraq, one of the few journalists to cover Iraq extensively even in the mid-1990’s during the sanctions and reported on the devastating effects that took place prior to America’s attack that killed over one million civilians:

 “It is impossible, given the level of heartbreak and destruction wrought on the Middle East, not to be beyond all shame and mired in pessimism. From the religious zealots in Europe who launched eight major invasions, the Crusades, in the region, between 1095 and 1291 to “liberate” the Holy Land from the majority Muslim inhabitants, to the religious zealots led by George W. Bush and Tony Blair, in a second declared “Crusade” in 2003. It seems the lands of such an eye watering history of humanity, beliefs and wonders are never to be left to flourish amid the beauty and culture.

Fast forward to Winston Churchill who said of the Kurds and the inhabitants of Northern Iraq: “I do not understand this squeamishness about the use of gas. We have definitely adopted the position at the Peace Conference of arguing in favour of the retention of gas as a permanent method of warfare…. I am strongly in favour of using poisoned gas against uncivilised tribes.” (War Office minute, 12th May 1919.)

Lawrence of Arabia meddled in the region on behalf of the UK Foreign and Commonwealth Office and Gertrude Bell, British spy amongst other things, it is forgotten, was busy creating the “New Iraq” after the fall of the Ottoman Empire. In August 1921 she wrote with supreme patronisation: “We have finally crowned our little King.” He was not, of course, an Iraqi. Sykes-Picot redrew the borders, severing families and ancients bonds.

Oil was discovered and fast forwarding again, the Project for the New American Century and all the indescribable horrors that have befallen the region since, with further threatened, based on lie after lie, with the UN either ignored or near mute.

But in spite of all, there is perhaps still hope in a region of towering pride, culture, spirit and ingenuity. It was Paul William Roberts who wrote of Iraq after the 1991 decimation, a haunting tribute that equally applies from Tehran in the East to Palestine’s Jerusalem in the West:

“But for all the horrors, illegality, destruction, shame on the invaders and collective shame shared by so many, there is something Iraq will never lose”… the old people with resignation stamped across their foreheads, who can’t go on yet will go on; the young married couples who still hope for a better life yet don’t hope too hard lest it break their hearts, the countless unremembered acts of kindness and of love that fill desolate days, and I realise I would far prefer to be here than in any house where this war is justified. For it cannot be justified. But this region has always led to somewhere worth going. Baghdad is just as glorious in its ruin as it was in its glory, for something noble crawls from the rubble to spread golden wings in the light of dawn. The Gate of God opens wider.”

John B. Cobb, Jr. is an American theologian, philosopher, and environmentalist described as one of the two most important North American theologians of the twentieth century:

Currently the threat of war between the United States and Russia is high. Fortunately, the recognition of Mutual Assured Destruction may hold both powers back from the use of nuclear weapons unless one side thinks that some kind of first strike could prevent a response. From time to time, continuous U.S. provocations of North Korea could start a nuclear war there that would be hard to contain.  These are the most immediate threats to human survival.

 I find myself assuming, without much justification, that our species will avoid this ultimate insanity, and concentrating on the threats that follow from the now well-known fact that our collective behaviour on the planet is unsustainable. 

That means that if we continue in the deep ruts we are now in, our current global civilisations will collapse, if not in war, then by famine and disease.  We are poisoning the ocean, the land, and the atmosphere.  We are exhausting or destroying the sources of fresh water. 

The battle of biochemistry against the evolution of new plant and animal diseases will not always be won.  Much of the best farmland will be lost to rising sea levels and spreading deserts. Rising temperatures will make large parts of the planet uninhabitable. We will be more and more dependent on technology that will be more and more vulnerable. Meanwhile the middle class is already disappearing, and the rich and powerful will exploit the poor more and more ruthlessly.  The poor will be less passive than in the past. Their struggle to survive will include violent resistance to the violence of the powerful. Population will plummet. The remnant will fight over what is left. The technology available for this fighting grows more and more comprehensively destructive. Since we collectively have shown little willingness to change our ways radically, this seems to be the most probable scenario.

Accordingly, if I must choose between pessimism and optimism, I am a pessimist. But I stand in a tradition that calls for us to trump pessimism with what we call “theological virtues.” These are faith, hope, and love. I live in hope. Hope discerns hopeful developments here and there, new departures that, if pursued, could pull the world back from the brink. It delights in the emergence, now and again, of leaders who, if followed, would bring about the needed changes. It sees that history is unpredictable, full of surprises. To love in the context of hope is to care deeply about the whole and do what we can to participate in promising breakthroughs. It is also to generate what joy is possible in the here and now in acting for the flourishing of the whole.
Andre Vltchek is a political analyst, journalist, author and a filmmaker. He has reported and filmed armed conflicts in every corner of the world, served as a Senior Fellow at the Oakland Institute and is interviewed by major news and TV outlets across Asia for his incisive personal accounts:

Where do we go from here? The world seems to be heading towards the final showdown between the reactionary forces of the Western imperialism and those countries/nations that are determined to defend their rights to maintain their independent course, to protect their cultures and preserve interests of their people.

In a long term I remain very optimistic. In a short term, the confrontation may be inevitable, even brutal, but for more than five centuries, the world has been shouting in horror and pain, tormented by the Western colonialism and neo-colonialism. Most of the victims used to be invisible; they were suffering “somewhere there”, far away, where they “belonged”. Now people are refusing to suffer and to die in silence. They’d rather die standing, struggling, than to live in permanent agony and on their knees.

Powerful new media outlets, in Russia, Latin America, the Middle East and China are now confronting all orthodox Western mass media channels, challenging with determination and courage all official imperialist propaganda dogmas, while unveiling the devastation and killings caused by the Western imperialism in all corners of the globe.

Resistance is growing and the new coalitions are being constantly forged. It is definitely not good news for the West and for its collaborators. But it gives new hope to the rest of the world. I strongly believe that if left alone, the rest of the world would easily and quickly find the way to coexist peacefully, even to find solutions to many urgent ecological problems.

Without imperialism and savage capitalism, we would be already, for many decades, living in much gentler, peaceful and optimistic world.

There may have to be one more battle – a battle for survival of our human race. I only hope that if there has to be one, it would be the very last one: decisive and brief, with as little casualties as possible.

Jeff J Brown lives in China, he has been a speaker at TEDx, the Bookworm and Capital M Literary Festivals, the Hutong, as well as being featured in an 18-part series of interviews on Radio Beijing AM774, with former BBC journalist, Bruce Connolly:

China’s long march to postwar prominence began with communist liberation in 1949. Previously, life expectancy was only 35 years and literacy was 20%. It was brutally colonised, exploited and addicted to opium, principally by Britain and America. By the end of the Mao Era in 1978, life expectancy for one-fourth of humanity skyrocketed to +65 years and literacy to +70%. The CPC had melded China into a formidable agricultural, industrial, technological and military powerhouse to be respected, in spite of inhumane, Cuba-esque sanctions.

While the economy grew over 6%/year, the population doubled, so per capita, China was still consumer poor. Deng’s 1978 reforms were designed to keep China on its path of socialism, while profiting from market methods, to create the wealth needed to eventually transition into being a rich communist country.

Socialism with Chinese characteristics has breathtakingly shattered almost every socioeconomic and trade record in the history of civilization. Over 90% of the world’s people brought out of poverty in the last 40 years are Chinese.

China is Earth’s biggest (PPP) economy, creditor, manufacturer, exporter and trader. There is no end in sight, as the CPC is on track to meet its 2049 centennial goal to be the rich, communist society the country’s constitution promises to deliver to its citizens. Unlike the West, China has done all this without occupying, colonizing and destroying other countries.

For 5,000 years, the Chinese have shown to have zero global imperialism in their DNA. For the sake of Earth’s survival into the 21 st century, we need to jettison 500 years of Western tyranny, war and genocide, for responsible and visionary global leadership. China’s proven record of win-win cooperation and social justice is a global model we can all benefit from. Time to jump aboard!

Nozomi Hayase Ph.D., is a former WikiLeaks Central contributing writer who has been covering issues of freedom of speech, transparency and the vital role of whistleblowers and cryptocurrencies.  She is also a member of the editorial board of The Indicter:
Noam Chomsky – “it’s disgraceful to keep Julian Assange holed up in the Ecuadorean Embassy. I did visit him there once and in many ways it’s worse than imprisonment.”
I am optimistic about the next 20 years, because we live in a world where now there is true investigative journalism. WikiLeaks opened a door for a future that can be envisioned by everyday people. This whistleblowing site that rose to prominence in 2010 with the release of the Collateral Murder video, provided an avenue for those with conscience inside institutions to come forward and reveal fraud and abuse of the powerful without fear of political retaliation. Through the method of transparency, WikiLeaks brought a new form of scientific journalism. By employing cryptography and creating a technical infrastructure that is decentralized, they innovated journalism in the age of the Internet and became a global 4th estate resilient to censorship.

For so long, the press, purported watchdogs for power has been co-opted through media consolidation and acting as gatekeepers. In the last 10 years WikiLeaks, with its perfect record of document authentication, liberated free speech from institutions that failed to protect it. When people are informed about real actions of governments, they can withdraw consent and chart a path for self-determination.

Those in power work in secrecy, manipulating perception to engineer people’s consent. From Chelsea Manning, Jeremy Hammond to Edward Snowden, we have seen waves of contagious courage. Despite coordinated attacks, WikiLeaks stays strong and keeps publishing. I see tremendous hope in this growing network of people who have begun taking the reins of their own destiny.

Graham Vanbergen – TruePublica Editor:
Since the signing of the Maastricht treaty in 1992, 65 parties in Europe rose to appose the union and the Euro, including UKIP who ultimately caused Brexit causing political chaos and fractured relationships in the 28 nation bloc. 

The transition from the evidently disintegrating post-war rules based system to a more complicated and international system that America and the West insist on leading will be messy – dangerous even in the years ahead. 

To date, the most powerful advocates and institutions to this system have made some disastrous decisions leading to increased tensions in almost every region of the world. The power brokers of the West are now facing an unprecedented challenge, particularly as rising discontent is gathering at an unstoppable pace within their own territories from disaffected but re-engaged citizens, much to the alarm of the ruling elite. Brexit, Trump, the elimination of the traditional establishment in the French elections and the rise of non establishment political  parties is evidence of the rapidly changing political environment we now face.

The globalisation project is facing off against nationalism and protectionism headed up by populist movements, whilst traditional political power is being replaced by transnational social movements who increasingly dominate global politics – all of which adds considerable pressure to an already weakened structure. 

The worry is that America and its Western allies could do the unthinkable in a desperate attempt to regain economic and political control and attack its perceived opponents in a typically aggressive show of force with catastrophic consequences.

The big problem is that the American policed security order and European inspired legal order have both fractured at the same time with no real candidates to replace them, thereby, creating a void that could be filled with dangerous ideologies pushed by dangerous individuals.

As Antonio Gramsci wrote from his Roman prison cell just before the last world war: “Disorder, war and even disease can flood into the vacuum that forms when the old is dying and the new cannot be born” – these words are truly relevant today.

The next 20 years will be more than just challenging but from this new world disorder, as we peer over the precipice, we may see the birth of new human collaboration and collective participation as technology combined with a more enlightened generation strive for global peace – an ideology not tried before.

Peoples across the world are trying to wrangle free of globalisation, colonialism, imperialism and the inequality it delivers. From the aforementioned collective commentary it is clear that the immediate future may well be confrontational and certainly testing, be it from political strife, conflict, famine, poverty, climate change and the like but there is considerable optimism that from the very edge, humanity may just come to its senses, and as Nozomi Hayase rightly observes that there is “tremendous hope in this growing network of people who have begun taking the reins of their own destiny.”
The original source of this article is True Publica








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